User blog comment:B214/Volume 22 spoilers/@comment-187.195.231.221-20160727171101/@comment-24.113.252.213-20160728025737

Considering the Factions forgave Vali and his team (Odin even adopted Vali), and the fact Ophis isn't as powerful as she used to be, I think it might go a bit easier than you're suggesting.

Not that your reasons are bad (they're valid).